Chapter 1 Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change

Chapter 2 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change in The Middle East: Arab Exceptionalism and The International Order

Chapter 3 Paradigms of Change and American Foreign Policy Toward Iraq in The 1980S: Moderating A Totalitarian Regime and The Road to The Gulf War

Chapter 4 Containing a Rogue State: The Iraq Policy of The Clinton Administration

Chapter 5 September Eleven, The Bush Administration, and The Ascendance of The Neoconservative Vision of Democratic Universalism

Chapter 6 The Buildup to Operation Iraqi Freedom: Implementing Democratic Universalism

Chapter 8 Reflections on The Iraqi Predictive Predicament