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@CT_Bergstrom Has anyone published this on estimates of R for emerging diseases and the arrival of new variants? The best ref I can think of would be the old Branching Processes book by Athreya and Ney: https://t.co/3lOk0gHhy6
@CT_Bergstrom Has anyone published this on estimates of R for emerging diseases and the arrival of new variants? The best ref I can think of would be the old Branching Processes book by Athreya and Ney: https://t.co/3lOk0gHhy6
Our paper extends @giuliacfanti's framework to add in slashing Slashing adds complexity: Money supply can go to zero! Pólya urns do not do this — need to generalize to Pólya Birth-Death processes (urn can go to zero) Studied in the 70s by Athreya/Ney ht