Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

Chapter 1 Quantitative Risk Assessment Goals and Challenges

Chapter 2 Introduction to Engineering Risk Analysis

Chapter 3 Introduction to Health Risk Analysis

Chapter 4 Limitations of Risk Assessment Using Risk Matrices

Chapter 5 Limitations of Quantitative Risk Assessment Using Aggregate Exposure and Risk Models

Chapter 6 Identifying Nonlinear Causal Relations in Large Data Sets

Chapter 7 Overcoming Preconceptions and Confirmation Biases Using Data Mining

Chapter 8 Estimating the Fraction of Disease Caused by One Component of a Complex Mixture: Bounds for Lung Cancer

Chapter 9 Bounding Resistance Risks for Penicillin

Chapter 10 Confronting Uncertain Causal Mechanisms – Portfolios of Possibilities

Chapter 11 Determining What Can Be Predicted: Identifiability

Chapter 12 Predicting the Effects of Changes: Could Removing Arsenic from Tobacco Smoke Significantly Reduce Smoker Risks of Lung Cancer?

Chapter 13 Simplifying Complex Dynamic Networks: A Model of Protease Imbalance and COPD Dynamic Dose-Response

Chapter 14 Value of Information (VOI) in Risk Management Policies for Tracking and Testing Imported Cattle for BSE

Chapter 15 Improving Antiterrorism Risk Analysis

Chapter 16 Designing Resilient Telecommunications Networks